Analysis: Donald Trump’s fever may break

The system works. Here’s one thing that can make everyone happy: election results are mostly unquestionable. This can have a lot to do with the good success of Republicans. But the results should prove to them that Trump’s myth of voter fraud is in fact a myth.

From there, things become more situational. Here’s what Republicans and Democrats should take from the results.

Leave Trump behind. Perhaps Republicans did not have to change election laws, as they did in key countries, in an attempt to reduce Democrat participation. Maybe they just had to let Donald Trump down, like Republican Glenn Youngkin defeated Democrat Terry McAuliff on his way to victory in the gubernatorial race in Virginia.
He was not a strong man who would throw bombs, the one who won the voters in the blue country. He was a smiling rich man in a zippered vest who calmed down but did not give up the racial issues that attracted Trump supporters, and advocated the notions of so-called “parental choice” that attracted suburban residents. His other big problem was the abolition of the food tax. These are literally the kitchen table questions.
A moderate Republican is running for governor v New Jersey, Jack Ciattarelli, achieved a stunning swing against progressive Democrat Phil Murphy, who only leads closely when votes flow. Ciattarelli rejected Trump’s conspiracy theories and encouraged Republicans to vote.

Compare those results to the California recall election in September, when Republicans rallied around fiery candidate Larry Elder, a radio host. They lost hard and handed over the victory to Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom.

Primary is the problem. Republicans in Virginia got Youngkin and not a Trump-friendly politician by making an end around their constituents. They took power from the GOP base and selected Youngkin by a non-traditional procedure of delegates going to driving locations in May.

In Buffalo, four-time mayor Byron Brown lost the pre-election against democratic socialist India Walton earlier this year, so he organized an enrollment campaign – the political equivalent Triple Lindy. He will keep his job.

People who vote can choose. Democracies do not reflect the will of the people; they reflect the will of the people who vote. In out-of-year elections like these, a different set of people emerges than in general elections when the White House and Congress are ready to grab. This is an even smaller subgroup participating in the primary elections outside the year.

The basic voters on the right and left are those types of voters who appear in pre-elections, and often there are also those who have the most extreme views that push American politicians into partisan corners.

Politicians need to listen to what people want. “It sounds old-fashioned, but you go out, you talk to people, you build a platform based on what they have to say,” said Republican strategist and CNN commentator Scott Jennings, who is not a Trump fan. He warned on Tuesday that in recent years the GOP has not had a platform.

“The platform was what Donald Trump woke up that day and thought about.”

Youngkin’s campaign, however, was built around issues of interest to people, Jennings said. This is the path to victory. “This campaign had a platform and schools, and crime and quality of life were at the core of that platform.”

Youngkin took a critical theory of race, something not currently taught in schools in Virginia, and turned it into a strong campaign issue, giving voters a sense that schools, many of which are physically closed during a pandemic, are not doing their job. It doesn’t matter that he probably won’t have the power to do much about it as governor.

The slogan “take away the police” has not aged well. Perhaps Democrats need to think long and hard about how to package efforts to reshape the U.S. police, especially in the suburbs.

Given the pain and suffering uncovered over the past year, police reform is clearly needed. But finding the answer will not be easy.

Also in Minneapolis, where George Floyd’s police assassination sparked a national protest movement, voters rejected a plan to abolish the city’s police department.

Jacob Frey, the target of the mayor who rejected a radical change of police, came to re-election after unofficial results.

Eric Adams, the new mayor of New York will not be a radical liberal; is a former police officer who puts law and order next to the need for responsibility.

Democrats may have to step away from Trump even though they are seeking responsibility for his coup attempt in Congress.

Voters are clearly above that, as McAuliffe built his campaign on portraying Youngkin as a mini-Trump rather than on issues like keeping schools open in Virginia.

Democrats will now turn around. You can feel the madness happening among Democrats. Their moderate members, who are already concerned about the GOP’s historic advantage in next year’s midterm elections, will be even more nervous about the big Social Expenditure Act passed by President Joe Biden on Capitol Hill.

On the contrary, if they do not accept his version, they will be wasting much of what will probably be their only years clinging to full power in Washington.

They, too, could follow Jennings ’advice and talk to voters about what they want, instead of continuing to talk about Trump.



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