The daily number of Covid cases in the UK falls below 100,000 for the first time since Christmas

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The daily number of Covid cases in the UK fell below 100,000 today for the first time in weeks, with infections falling for the ninth day in a row – but SAGE Modelers are already warning of an ‘exit wave’ this summer.

According to the government control panel, another 99,652 Britons were positive for the virus in the last 24 hours, a 44% drop from last week.

Covid cases are now declining in all regions of England and all four home countries, another sign that Omicron the wave is at the exit.

Daily hospital admissions also remained unchanged with 2,423 new admissions on January 10, the last date with data, which is less than one percent less than the previous week.

Sources say ministers intend to abandon Covid’s passports and extended WFH guidelines in England when Plan B restrictions are reviewed at the end of the month, with promising figures making “curbs difficult to justify”.

Daily deaths from covid – an indicator of backwardness – have been creeping up for weeks. Today, another 270 were recorded in a 17% weekly increase.

But the rising immunity and the inherently milder version of Omicron mean there are now five times fewer deaths compared to the second wave last January.

Despite encouraging statistics, official modeling has warned that the number of Covid cases and hospitalizations could increase this summer.

In a document submitted to the Government Scientific Advisory Group (SAGE) last week, the team at the University of Warwick predicted up to 10,000 daily admissions in the absolute worst case scenario.

The modelers acknowledge that they cannot predict the summer wave ‘with certainty’, but in all the predicted circumstances there is an “exit” wave due to increased mixing and weakened immunity to the vaccine.

They add: “The exact time and magnitude of this output wave is highly dependent on the behavior of the population and the magnitude of the current wave and cannot be predicted with certainty.”

January 2
January 9th

Data from the UK Health Safety Agency showed that last week Covida cases fell in 87 per cent of English territories or 129 out of 149 local authorities. For comparison, in the previous seven-day period (left), cases decreased in only 15 municipal areas

Government figures show that in England, daily infections have been declining week by week over the past seven days across the country.

Infections have only risen in the northeast, but the latest government figures show they now reflect the rest of the country.

Fascinating maps show how the virus burns nationally, with about 87 percent of local authorities affected in the last week of cases.

The Northeast has become the focus of Omicron in recent weeks after the outbreak moved north and is home to seven of the 10 local authorities with the largest outbreaks.

One in 40 people (2.6 percent) living in the region has been positive in the past week, more than any other point of the pandemic.

According to reports, England is now preparing to ease the restrictions imposed to combat Omicron.

A record 3.7 million people were infected with Covid on any given day last week in England - but cases at the national level have slowed, according to a supervisory study by the National Bureau of Statistics with a gold standard.

A record 3.7 million people were infected with Covid on any given day last week in England – but cases at the national level have slowed, according to a supervisory study by the National Bureau of Statistics with a gold standard.

The new version hit areas northwest, northeast and Yorkshire the hardest last week, as it began to burn in London and the south

The new version hit areas northwest, northeast and Yorkshire the hardest last week, as it began to burn in London and the south

Percentage of people who transmitted Covid in their home countries of the United Kingdom in the week to 6 January

Percentage of people who transmitted Covid in their home countries of the United Kingdom in the week to 6 January

NORTH EAST: The picture above shows the rate of Covid infection in the northeast, indicating that its incidence has begun to rise

NORTH EAST: The picture above shows the rate of Covid infection in the northeast, indicating that its incidence has begun to rise

NORTH EAST: Above is the number of patients admitted to Covid Hospital each day.  The region is now at about the same level as last winter

NORTH EAST: Above is the number of patients admitted to Covid Hospital each day. The region is now at about the same level as last winter

NORTH EAST: The number of patients with Covid in hospital beds in the region is shown above.  There are early signs that this may be lower at a lower level than last winter

NORTH EAST: The number of patients with Covid in hospital beds in the region is shown above. There are early signs that this may be lower at a lower level than last winter

NORTH EAST: And above is the number of patients with Covid on beds with mechanical ventilators.  This did not increase in a sign that the Omicron is milder than its predecessors

NORTH EAST: And above is the number of patients with Covid on beds with mechanical ventilators. This did not increase in a sign that the Omicron is milder than its predecessors

The Minister of Health was supposed to tell the deputies yesterday that the passports for vaccines could be abolished by the end of this month, and the ministers are considering giving up work from home. Both are scheduled to be reviewed on January 26.

Self-isolation will be reduced to five days on Monday for vaccinated people with positive tests, and Sajid Javid said the move would make the UK “Europe’s best”.

A record 4.3 million Britons had Covid last week, according to ONS surveillance

A record 4.3 million Britons are expected to carry Covid last week.

The latest controls from the Office for National Statistics show that the new version has hit areas in the north-west, north-east and Yorkshire the hardest, as it has started to burn in London in the south.

More than 10 percent of people were positive in the seven days to Jan. 6 in the most affected places, including Bury, Wirral, West Lancashire, Burnley, Rochdale and Solihull.

As part of the weekly report, an interactive map was published, which found that infections had reached new highs in all four home countries.

It is estimated that one in 15 people was infected on any given day last week in England, while the rate was one in 20 in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.

Although infections have continued to rise in the past week, the 14% increase is the smallest increase since Omicron became dominant in early December.

The slowdown in infections is in line with growing evidence that the Omicron wave is calming.

Recent data from the government control panel show that the number of cases is now declining in all countries in the United Kingdom and in all regions of England. Daily receptions also seem to have risen across the UK.

Scientists from the UK Health Safety Agency calculate the infection rate in the English regions based on the number of positive swabs recorded in the last seven days.

His latest figures up to January 8 show that cases are now declining day by day across the region, with five of them – the East Midlands, East Anglia, London, North West and South East – week declining. – In a week.

The Northeast (2,572.4) is still the focus of Covid in the country, which records the most cases per 100,000 people, but is now starting to point downwards.

The second highest infection rates were in the Northwest (2,132.6), followed by Yorkshire and the Humber (1,977.5) and the West Midlands (1,785.6).

At the other end of the scale were the South West (1,270.2), the South East (1,374.1) and the East of England (1,460.7). London had the sixth highest infection rate (1,526.5).

As a sign that the fall of the Northeast is real and not the result of a change in testing its level of PCR positivity – the proportion of swabs that detects the virus – has also begun to fall.

Infection statistics refer to the period before the test rules were changed, so that Britons who tested positive using side-flow no longer need to undergo confirmatory PCR. But the numbers were falling before that.

Fewer Covid tests were also conducted during the holiday season, which slightly distorted the official figures.

But the smear rate has now risen to pre-Christmas levels, giving some of the country’s leading experts the belief that the drop in cases is real.

The number of hospitalizations in the Northeast has not yet declined, reaching 390 admissions per day, approaching the peak of last year’s 430.

But the number of patients with Covid in hospitals has dropped to 3,000 in recent days, about four-fifths of the previous peak, while the number on beds with mechanical ventilators has barely increased.

The weekly rating of the UK Health Safety Agency on R-level was between 1.1 and 1.5 today, which means it has fallen slightly. Last week, health chiefs claimed it was at least 1.2.

But in London, the reproduction rate could be as high as 0.7, the team concluded.

If the number is below one, it means that infections are decreasing. The R number reflects the average amount of people to whom each infected patient transmits the virus.

Level R, however, is an indicator that lags behind and does not reflect the current situation. Instead, it gives a clearer picture of how quickly the virus spread three weeks ago.

Ministers once placed Level R at the center of their Covid combat plan. However, it is now less crucial as professionals are more concerned about hospitalization and mortality rates, given the massive successful introduction of vaccination in the country.

At yesterday’s meeting with Tory MPs, Mr Javid welcomed the “encouraging signs”, but noted that hospitals were still under “significant pressure”, reports The Times.

Currently, people in England have to show proof of vaccination or a negative side stream to enter big events and nightclubs.

A source in Whitehall told the newspaper: “There has always been a very high threshold for politics and it seems increasingly likely that this threshold will not be reached in a few weeks. Given the way the cases are being handled, it will be difficult to justify recovery. ‘

Last month, the UK government faced its biggest Tory resistance since the start of the pandemic over the introduction of Plan B measures, with more than 100 Conservatives voting against them.

The prime minister’s chief Brexit negotiator Lord Frost has resigned dramatically in protest of the introduction of curbs. He hit the “Covid Theater” masks and passes yesterday and called the lockout a “serious mistake.”

The Times reports that Covid passes are unlikely to be renewed if the health ministry says they are no longer needed.

Alicia Kearns, an MP from Rutland and Melton, yesterday called on the health minister to commit to “abandoning domestic certification at the earliest opportunity”.

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