A vote of no confidence: what is it and what does it mean for the Prime Minister?

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While some believe the number could be reached soon, others believe the last letters are more likely to come through the door of the party the report was published by Sue Gray.

If this threshold is reached, Sir Graham will meet with Mr Johnson to inform him and discuss the timing of the vote. Once the couple has finalized the details, it will be made public.

At this point, events could unfold rapidly. This has been the case in the past, s Theresa May faced with a vote of confidence on 12 December 2019 – the same day the threshold of 48 MEPs was reached.

What happens when a vote of no confidence is taken?

The contest is simply a vote up and down on whether to hold Mr Johnson in office.

This time, a single majority is needed to oust the prime minister.

However, there is a danger for Mr Johnson that the vote is a blind vote, which means that ministers and others on the government payroll who have so far bit their tongues may finally move towards it.

If the rebels do not gather this number, Mr Johnson will remain in office and no new vote will be possible for 12 months.

If the Prime Minister wins, is he sure?

The resignation of former conservative leaders suggests that Mr Johnson will still be extremely vulnerable, even if he clings.

That was true Margaret Thatcherwho resigned a few days after surviving the first round of the leadership challenge, which took place on November 20, 1990.

Although she secured 204 votes against 152 Michael Heseltin, her failure at a 15% winning lead meant she would face a second vote if she decided to fight.

Although the rules have changed since then, Ms May also resigned a few months after surviving a no-confidence vote, despite the fact that MEPs have not been able to launch a contest for 12 months.

Her departure stemmed mainly from the fact that her opponents in the party, in the absence of formal competition, found other ways to express their distrust.

In Ms May’s case, this took the form of a threatening vote of no confidence in the National Conservative Convention, a body representing the presidents of voluntary Tory associations, regional officials and other branches.

In April 2019, more than 65 presidents of conservative associations signed a petition calling for an extraordinary NCC assembly. Ms May resigned the following month (below) before the vote could take place.

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